Weekly indicators provide a timely nowcast of the economy, signaling changes before monthly or quarterly data is available, and help “mark your beliefs to market.”. Long leading indicators, including ...

High frequency indicators point to a steady U.S. economy with strong consumer spending and stock market gains. Learn why ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...

The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession is one driver why the central bank would want to slash borrowing costs. Steven Goldstein is based in London and ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

The market’s most closely watched part of the yield curve inverted today, and if its record over the last half-century is any indicator, the U.S. could be headed for a recession soon. Shortly after 6 ...

When the 2-year Treasury yield eclipsed the 10-year Treasury yield on July 5, 2022, it caught many investors’ attention. The event — commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion — was largely viewed as a ...

Maybe the reason is that the government response to the pandemic is the gift that's still giving or ongoing Fed monetary tightening actions. Since June 2022, the yield curve — the difference between ...

Economists have been warning of a recession for so long it’s hard to remember when they didn’t warn of one. Now there’s another sign that the U.S. economy could be headed for a fall — the U.S.

The odds of a US downturn are rising because the Federal Reserve has already pushed interest rates high enough to stall the economy, according to Campbell Harvey, who is well known for his research on ...

Two recession indicators are on the verge of flashing as the unemployment rate ticks higher and the yield curve uninverts. But stock market investors can still rest easy as the drivers behind each ...