SportsLine's model analyzes Red Bull's Max Verstappen, McLaren's Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, and the rest of the starting grid's chances at the 2025 F1 Belgian GP

For his part, Shovlin pointed to the change in front-wing regulations as one potential culprit. Ahead of the Spanish Grand Prix, the sport’s governing body implemented a new technical directive, which limited how much the front wings can flex under aerodynamic load.

The Belgian Grand Prix is under serious threat of cancellation after heavy rain lashed Spa-Francorchamps, leading to a cancellation of the F3 round.

Catch up on Saturday at Spa, as it hosted round 13 of the 2025 Formula One season with the Belgian Grand Prix weekend