Those who trust data and probability over experience and intuition will win.”Having studied statistics and probability theory during my student days, I have long been drawn to the “fascination of ...

Strategy Column ②For example, imagine an empty My Juggler machine that has been stuck for 800G. Looking at the ...

S&P 500 at critical 7470–7475, oil's explosive wedge, tech rotation (Apple/AI), Palantir & Shopify swing targets, Intel ...

This time, we’ll curate things a bit more.2 From among the 40,000 simulations that FLIPR ran on Saturday, I’ve chosen 13 ...

ChatGPT sees Bitcoin at $200,000 by June 2028 and XRP at $5 by September 2028. Discover the factors behind these targets.

Independent AI forecasts of DC Initiative 86, conditional on the vote, pooled through a causal map - MaxGhenis/dc-i86-llm-forecast ...

Wellner conjecture - no Poisson-binomial outcome exceeds its Poisson probability by more than mean/variance - ipitchford/poisson-binomial-density-ratio ...

In the U.S. midterm elections, the Democratic Party regained control of both the House and the Senate, turning traditional ...

New York’s early cannabis leaders won in a market of few brands, licenses and stores. As out-of-state brands and capital ...

As an idea takes shape, its creator transforms the very landscape of what might come into being. The key lies in ...

What Anthropic’s acceleration warning means for recursive self-improvement, and what evidence remains missing.

Gold futures remain under pressure, but a conditional swing-long plan identifies specific entry prices, downside protection ...